Doing math on Palin’s book stop

November 23rd, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

Palin Book Tour

Crunching some numbers as we await the arrival of Sarah Palin and her “Going Rogue: An American Life” book tour on Dec. 6 at the Barnes  & Noble Booksellers in Sioux City. POLITICO reports former Alaska Gov. Palin has been signing books for exactly 1,000 people in her few stops thus far. I suspect that means a lot of Siouxland people who want to get a signed copy of “Going Rogue” will be Going Without.

We know the setup at B&N is that Palin will sign two copies per person, with her name only and no personalization like including “To Barbara, All The Best.” This booksigning tour is a business, and keeping to the schedule is key. Palin thus far has signed her allotment, got on the bus and been whisked away, much to the dismay of chanting Palin fans.

POLITICO reports 2008 Republican vice presidential candidate Palin has been producing 1,000 signatures per hour, at roughly four seconds per signature. If so, and if each person presumably has two books along, it will take right at two hours to finish the job. That means she’ll likely wrap around 3 p.m., in good stead to make it to the following stop at 5 p.m. in Sioux Falls, 90 miles up Interstate 29 from the Sioux City mall.

The question:  How early will you get in line to make sure you’re one of the first 1,000 to get a wristband to have “Going Rogue” signed? As of now, the wristbands are slated to be distributed at 7 a.m., six hours prior to when Palin will take pen in hand in Siouxland.

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Iowans have doubts on Obama, Palin

November 22nd, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

The Des Moines Register this evening has released additional details from a poll done on high-profile political figures. The one that Tom Beaumont has just dropped on his blog shows 2008 Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin is in strong favor among Iowa Republicans. But her unfavorability rating among Iowans overall is 55 percent, compared to the 37 percent who view the former Alaska governor unfavorably, the poll showed.

And Beaumont summarizes, “Those feelings are intense: The percentage of Iowans who view Palin very unfavorably is more than twice as large as the percentage who view her very favorably.” Right — those who deride Palin as “Caribou Barbie” do so with profound dislike, while fans will line up for hours to see her in a Dec. 6 Sioux City book tour and not resent the time spent whatsoever.

The part of The Register poll from yesterday shows President Barack Obama’s job approval rating has fallen to 49 percent, down four percent from September and from 68 percent as he assumed the presidency in January. Obama got 54 percent of the vote in Iowa a year ago.

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Health bill moves ahead on partyline vote

November 22nd, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

The perceived wariness of a few U.S. Senate moderate Democrats on moving forward the health reform bill cobbled together by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid dissipated yesterday. All 58 Democrats and the two independents who typically vote with the majority party Dems held together and passed the bill (with an $858 billion pricetag) along to Senate floor debate on 60-39 vote. The vote from tri-state senators saw, of course, the three Democrats (Tom Harkin, Tim Johnson and Ben Nelson) voting affirmatively, while Republicans Mike Johanns, Charles Grassley and John Thune voted nay.

“This is a momentous, pivotal vote,” Harkin said.

Harkin — who could not appear in person when 1,500 Iowa Democrats attended the Jefferson-Jackson event last night, but gave a message via video — said now is the time for the bill particulars to be chewed over. One timeline  heard today is the Senate could work up to Dec. 23 to try to finalize health care reform, but a vote may not happen until mid-January. The House has passed a bill, while the Senate is still not there. If the Senate does, the process would involve a reconciliation between the House and Senate versions.

“We can see the finish line now, but we are not there,” said  Reid.

Check out the You Tube video below to see the roll call vote.

Or for a wry look at the 2,000-plus page Senate health care bill, view the video below.

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Nelson targeted as Senate health vote nears

November 20th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

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An important vote on health care reform comes off tomorrow, when the U.S. Senate will undertake a procedural vote on the recently introduced Patient Protection and Affordability Act. It is not a vote to pass the bill out of the Senate, but to move full consideration of the bill in the chamber. There are 58 Democrats, 40 Republicans and two independents who typically vote with the Dems, but perception is that a few Democrats could balk and aid plans by the GOP senators to filibuster the bill if 60 votes aren’t garnered.

That would be too bad, says U.S. Sen. Tim Johnson, a Democrat who hails from nearby Vermillion, S.D. Johnson today is saying the bill deserves the opportunity to be considered on the Senate floor, and so thinks the measure should be passed along tomorrow without all the hue-and-cry. He likes that the bill is estimated to give health care coverage to 94 percent of Americans as part of the effort to stand “up to the big insurance companies on behalf of the American people.”

You can count on Republicans John Thune of South Dakota, Charles Grassley of Iowa and Mike Johanns to vote nay tomorrow, while Johnson and Tom Harkin of Iowa will vote affirmatively. That leaves Ben Nelson (above), a Nebraska Democrat as a wild card, and the National Republican Committee is pressuring Nelson to vote ‘no.’ Additionally, Nelson will come to his voting presumbly having digested the editorial by the Omaha World-Herald to scuttle the Patient Protection and Affordability Act now.

In a release two days ago,  Nelson doesn’t say how he’ll vote, but I’ll read that he’ll be a ‘yes.’ You decide what this means:

Some who define it as a vote in front of the (Harry) Reid bill are misinformed, or are intentionally trying to mislead people. I remember that some in my party said the same thing — equating this procedural vote with a vote for a bill — when the Republicans were in charge. If your goal is to obstruct, that’s a convenient argument.

“… In reality, the meaning of the motion to proceed is very simple: It’s a motion to commence debate and an opportunity to make changes. Let me say it again: it is a motion to start debate on a bill and to try to improve it. If you don’t like the bill, then why would you block your own opportunity to amend it? Why would you stop senators from doing the job they’re elected to do — debate, consider amendments and take action on an issue affecting every American?”

It’s worth noting the Senate PPAA bill is not the same as what passed out of the House two Saturdays ago. Apparently the important 2009 federal health care reform bill votes must occur on Saturdays.

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Grassley: Obese could get higher health premiums

November 19th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

A report Tuesday showed the obesity rate for Americans hanging (like a gut) again in the low-30s percent, while pointing to the rate climbing to 43 percent by 2018. Obesity is measured at 30 pounds above a healthy weight, and if it rises to the 2018 projection, one-fifth of all health care costs will be related to medical conditions arising from being considerably overweight.

I asked U.S. Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, what federal officials can do to reduce obesity at a time when  health care reform is being debated in Congress. He said the federal government can push a few things, but said Americans need to take control of their own health.

Said Grassley, a three-mile-per-day jogger: “The answer is yes (for federal action), but not very directly, because you aren’t going to control what people can put into their mouth and whether or not they walk enough and exercise enough or what they eat that is unhealthy.”

Grassley laid out four areas for action: (1) more education to aid healthy living decisionmaking (he cited education being instrumental in reducing smoking rates), (2) having more doctors encouraging preventive medicine when speaking with patients and (3) creating healthier school meals, which is something Iowa’s other senator, Tom Harkin, frequently has worked towards. The fourth Grassley suggestion is Congress creating an opening for health insurance companies to have differing insurance premium costs depending on whether a person is obese.

“I would propose that we have different premium levels for people that don’t have a healthy lifestyle,” Grassley said. “By the way, a Safeway executive has made several appearances on Capitol Hill talking about how his company does that through their health insurance program, where they give people money for first-dollar costs of health care, and they get more money if they have a healthy lifestyle.”

Grassley again relayed his continuing opposition to a soda pop tax, which had at one point this summer been pitched as a means to pay for health reform.

“I’m not convinced that would work, and I am very convinced it is a nuisance tax,” he said.

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Smoking ban will go before South Dakota voters

November 19th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

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The even-year November elections have been very interesting in South Dakota lately, and will be again in 2010. Word today is that the new state smoking ban will be referred to voters in November 2010 after bar and casino owner efforts to petition for a decision by voters proved successful. Earlier, the secretary of state ruled some of the petition signatures were invalid, but an appeal to a circuit court resulted in a decision that enough signatures were valid to put the matter on the ballot.

Smoking bans and abortion restrictions (which went before voters in 2006 and 2008) remain topics that energize people. They might not be able to flesh out detailed positions of the Republican or Democratic candidates they’ll vote for, but South Dakotans, like many Americans, typically have a strongly-held position on issues like smoking and abortion. Beyond the selection of a new governor and determining whether federal legislators John Thune and Stephanie Herseth Sandlin will be returned to office, the South Dakota 2010 election will be intriguing.

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Finally, we get Branstad in Northwest Iowa

November 18th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

Just got word that western Iowans will finally be able to see Terry Branstad in a public event. Branstad still remains in the coy “exploratory” candidate committee phase even while having hired campaign staff, so we know he’s running for the 2010 governor position sought by five other Republicans as well. Branstad will meet with the Sac County Republican Party Central Committee tomorrow night in Sac City, then on Dec. 14 he’ll speak at the noon meeting of the Sioux City Downtown Rotary Club.

Branstad’s schedule released by communications director Tim Albrecht also includes stops through mid-December in Fort Dodge, Centerville, Kalona and Cedar Rapids. After joining the stage with the other GOP candidates for the first time on Nov. 7 in Des Moines, Branstad is ready to rachet up his public appearances. The other men in the race to unseat first-term Democratic Gov. Chet Culver are Sioux Cityans Chris Rants and Bob Vander Plaats, state lawmakers Jerry Behn and Rod Roberts and Cedar Rapids insurance executive Christian Fong.

It will be interesting to see how Branstad is received here — whether it’s as the Alpha Male who’ll crowd out the rest of the field en route to a primary victory that some envision or as the guy on dicey terms with social conservatives over his perceived inability to take a sufficiently tough stance against gay marriage.

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Grassley: Iowans concerned over terrorist trials

November 18th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

Word that the federal government may buy the empty Thomson Correctional Center in western Illinois to house suspected terrorists now housed at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, has stirred concern among Americans. Some are also chapped at the fact that U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder also plans civilian court trials for the Guantanamo detainees instead of military tribunals.

This morning, U.S. Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, said he opposes bringing the suspected terrorists to America, whether they’re in western Illinois near Iowa or anywhere else. He said he hadn’t heard concern about that through yesterday, then mid-call related staffers told him 10 calls from concerned Iowans had been received this morning.

“They are still enemy combatants, anyway you look like. I think that it brings legitimacy to terrorism, that they have the constitutional rights of every other criminal in America. They have more constitutional rights … than our own soldiers, putting their life on the line in the battlefield, have if they were court-martialed,” Grassley said, his voice rising.

To join a Journal Speakout discussion on whether Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and other 9/11 suspects should be tried in criminal court or a military tribunal, click here. And I’ll have a more extensive piece on the Grassley call shortly.

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Palin fans will beseige city Barnes & Noble

November 18th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

Palins Pipeline

Yesterday, in writing the fourth blog post in nine days concerning Sarah Palin, her autobiography and her upcoming book tour stop in Sioux City, I thought of issuing an opening disclaimer that I’m not purposely trying to achieve overkill on the topic. I didn’t put that out, and I guess now realize Palin will be a continuing topic from now until the Dec. 6 Barnes & Noble Bookseller stop, whether that drives readers batty or not.  A Michigan newspaper relates how in the opening book tour stop today, the venue was beseiged by Palin fans, so the local B&N officials might need to rethink how to pull off the appearance.

It seems 500 people stood in line overnight (what is this, a Phish concert?) to get first shot at wristbands to have a book signed. By the time the Grand Rapids book store began handing out the bands, 1,500 people were on hand at 7 a.m. That’s the time the Sioux City B&N officials plan to first hand out wristbands on Dec. 6 prior to the late morning store opening and the 1 p.m. opportunity to get a Palin autograph (but no personalization of the “Going Rogue” penning, however).

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Palin, Couric should air it out in Elk Point

November 17th, 2009 by Bret Hayworth

The Sarah Palin autobiography “Going Rogue: An American Life” is officially out today, 54 weeks after she and John McCain came out on the short end of the stick in the 2008 presidential race. The release is of note here, of course, since Palin will bring her book signing tour to Sioux City on Dec. 6, after kicking off the tour tomorrow in Michigan. So, with the release, The Journal this morning fronts a top of the page piece relating details from Palin’s appearance on the Oprah Winfrey talk show, inside is a book review by Associated Press writer Mark Kennedy (he’s not dazzled) and the opinion page has a Palin-themed column by Richard Cohen of the Washington Post.

If you want to check out some other Palin pieces, click away. First, we have an article from The Hill, in which McCain disputes a Palin claim that his campaign stuck her with a $50,000 bill in vetting her as a possible candidate. McCain said the bill is Palin’s for  legal work related to allegations that Palin made improper use of her influence as Alaska’s governor to press for the dismissal of a state trooper. Beyond that, McCain says he hopes Palin sells a ton of “Going Rogue” books, for which she received a $5 million advance.

Or click here for Palin’s take on Levi Johnston, the father of her granddaughter,  pursuing porn by appearing in Playgirl magazine. I’m much more interested in an academic review of Palin’s distinctive speech patterns, from the “you betcha”-style lingo and dropping of g’s off “ing” words — something the Alaska academics noted weren’t her style of speaking until she launched into the national sphere with the vice presidential nomination.

Lastly, a Politico piece recapping the Oprah appearance, including Palin remaining noncommittal on any 2012 presidential plans and dishing on her October 2008 interview with CBS news anchor Katie Couric. “I was annoyed by her badgering,” Palin says.

We in Siouxland, coincidentally, will have had the chance to see both Couric and Palin in our midst in a two-month period, which is weird when you think about the odds of that. Couric accepted an award at the University of South Dakota campus on Oct. 8, where Journal reporter Michele Linck recounted her impressions of the Palin interview. Couric said she essentially tried to ask casual questions about the issues of the day and what shaped Palin’s worldview. Palin struggled to answer what she reads to form her stances on issues, and the interview was widely seen as a down moment for the candidate.

Between her book and the Oprah appearance, Palin has no problem sharing her view of the Couric interview. Wouldn’t it be nice to have split the time/distance difference of the Oct. 8 appearance in Vermillion by Couric and the Dec. 6 appearance in Sioux City by Palin with a joint meeting of the two women to talk things out on Nov. 7 in Elk Point, S.D.?

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