Just got word that western Iowans will finally be able to see Terry Branstad in a public event. Branstad still remains in the coy “exploratory” candidate committee phase even while having hired campaign staff, so we know he’s running for the 2010 governor position sought by five other Republicans as well. Branstad will meet with the Sac County Republican Party Central Committee tomorrow night in Sac City, then on Dec. 14 he’ll speak at the noon meeting of the Sioux City Downtown Rotary Club.

Branstad’s schedule released by communications director Tim Albrecht also includes stops through mid-December in Fort Dodge, Centerville, Kalona and Cedar Rapids. After joining the stage with the other GOP candidates for the first time on Nov. 7 in Des Moines, Branstad is ready to rachet up his public appearances. The other men in the race to unseat first-term Democratic Gov. Chet Culver are Sioux Cityans Chris Rants and Bob Vander Plaats, state lawmakers Jerry Behn and Rod Roberts and Cedar Rapids insurance executive Christian Fong.

It will be interesting to see how Branstad is received here — whether it’s as the Alpha Male who’ll crowd out the rest of the field en route to a primary victory that some envision or as the guy on dicey terms with social conservatives over his perceived inability to take a sufficiently tough stance against gay marriage.

Blasted John Deeth, beating me to the punch with a post of plentious sagacity. Iowa City-based Deeth not only has his original JohnDeethBlog site, but lately he’s moved onto periodic posts for The Des Moines Register. Two nights ago in handling what I’m hoping (please!) is my last time raking leaves in 2009, my mind went to 2010 gubernatorial politics and the Republican field. I was thinking how if the large GOP field isn’t settled by the June primary, Bob Vander Plaats would be the favorite in a special convention to pick the nominee.

I dawdled on that topic for a post, but Deeth laid that thought out similarly here. Give it a read, I’m essentially in agreement. As said in this blog previously, in his third attempt in running for governor, Vander Plaats enjoys a strong constituency of supporters who won’t want to move to another candidate. I’ll put that at 30 percent, perhaps 35 percent, that the Sioux City management consultant can lock-it-in count on. I don’t believe any other candidate, Terry Branstad included, has such a rabid core of supporters.

There could be a field of three or four from among Vander Plaats, Branstad, Chris Rants, Jerry Behn, Christian Fong and Rod Roberts still going come June, and if the primary doesn’t result in one of the candidates amassing the 35 percent threshold in the primary, I posit that Vander Plaats would have the advantage in the convention. Vander Plaats might want to hope for the biggest field possible to ensure no one gets 35 percent in the primary. On the other hand, the smaller the field, the more likely it is that someone like Branstad or Rants could squeak out a 36-to-38 percent win.

These special conventions are rare but interesting, as evidenced by the summer 2002 event in Denison that included horsetrading before then-State Sen. Steve King emerged with  the Iowa 5th District Congressional GOP nod.

Just about the time polls close in Iowa tonight, a prime political event in the neighborhood will be wrapping as well. A forum for GOP gubernatorial candidates will be held about five miles southeast of Ida Grove, where the Ida and Crawford County Republican Parties will be cooperating to host five candidates in a Morton building on an acreage. The field includes everyone who plans to run for governor save former Gov. Terry Branstad — Bob Vander Plaats and Chris Rants of Sioux City, state lawmakers Jerry Behn and Rod Roberts and Cedar Rapids insurance exec Christian Fong. And the political parties landed a nice ‘get’ to moderate the event, as Republican Party of Iowa Chairman Matt Strawn will handle those duties.

The event is called Barn(get it?)storming for Governor, and Rachel Law of rural Correctionville is pleased she’ll be able to take it in. Law, who’s on the Ida County Republican Party Central Committee, said she hasn’t settled on a candidate she’d like to see win the governorship a year from tonight. She particularly wants to hear the five men talk about taxation, education and their views of the 10 percent across-the-board budget cut for Iowa agencies, as recently ordered by Democratic Gov. Chet Culver.

You might recall a week ago tonight, four of the five candidates (Roberts, Vander Plaats, Behn and Rants) shared the stage for a governor debate at the Sioux City Convention Center.

UPDATE: Behn had farmwork to do — given the wet weather, the harvest  has been very slow — and did not attend the Ida/Crawford GOP event.

When we get missives from the press office of the Terry Branstad for Governor campaign (yes, still technically in ‘exploratory’ status), they’ll be the product of an area native. Ida Grove’s Tim Albrecht this morning has been announced as Branstad’s communications team director, and he’s on the job this very day.

Albrecht, 32, has had a hand in a lot of Republican political campaigns after leaving the University of Northern Iowa. He was part of the Steve Forbes presidential campaign, worked for Steve Sukup when he ran for governor in 2002, then served for four years as spokesman for Iowa House Speaker Chris Rants of Sioux City.

Rants was a very early supporter of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the 2008 presidential race way back in late 2006, and Albrecht became press secretary for Romney’s campaign in Iowa. I figured at some point, Albrecht would come on board with Rants in his 2010 gubernatorial campaign. I couldn’t have been more wrong.

Many of you know Albrecht about a year ago launched a popular Web site, TheBeanWalker, which is a right-of-center news aggregator, a sort of Iowa-ized Drudge Report. Albrecht announced the site will continue with a new publisher. He also is leaving behind his job as communications director for American Future Fund, the group that in 2009 brought to the state a batch of high-profile GOP people with supposed designs on the 2012 presidency, including U.S. Sen. John Ensign to speak here in Sioux City.

Will he run for the 2010 governor spot? Certainly.

Here’s the key quote made late yesterday by former Gov. Terry Branstad, after journeying  from Iowa City (after the Hawkeyes defeated Indiana) to Wilton to speak at a fundraiser for Republican State Rep. Jeff Kaufmann: “This is a Saturday we’ll always remember — the day the Hawkeyes set a record nine straight wins… and the day I had the opportunity to re-enter the political fray.”

Wait, did Branstad in any way cite the Iowa State football program?

Woodbury County Republican Party Chairman Brian Rosener this morning confirmed State Sen. Jerry Behn of Boone can’t work around some conflicts and won’t be present tonight in the county party gubernatorial debate at the Sioux City Convention Center. Former Gov. Terry Branstad also is saving up his first appearance with the other candidates for Nov. 7 in Des Moines, so that leaves a field of four: Sioux Cityans Bob Vander Plaats and Chris Rants, Christian Fong and Rod Roberts.

The event is a fundraiser for the party at $10 per head, and Rosener said a few hundred might attend. “We certainly hope there are a lot of people out to see where these guys stand on the issues,” he said.

The topics will be the economy, state budget, taxation, education and marriage, on the day that same-sex marriage hits six months in Iowa. Rosener said the 90-minute event will involve a debate-style format, so while there will be time limits on answers, if the back-and-forth gets instructive, the candidates will be allowed to keep going. “We want it to flow a little bit,” he said.

Rosener said he’s disgruntled over the state of the state budget, with K-12 schools and law enforcement being included in the 10 percent across-the-board budget cut Democratic Gov. Chet Culver announced earlier this month. Rosener said state auditor David Vaudt and Republican lawmakers warned the budget was too plump in a time of recession, yet Culver didn’t insist on racheting back the budget during the session. Waiting until the early October state revenue estimate indicated a crisis was poor leadership by Culver, Rosener said.

“This state of Iowa is in such a critical situation,” he stated.

Considerable tweeted, blogged and phoned-in criticism over Gov. Chet Culver’s offer to cut his own pay by 10 percent has resulted in a midday recalculation. Democrat Culver earlier this month announced he was ordering a mid-fiscal year cut in the state budget by 10 percent, and said he would cut his own pay as part of sharing that budget pain.

Yesterday details on how $565 million in cuts will impact state agencies were unveiled, and we know that 791 state employees will be laid off, while 529 state positions will be left vacant. Part of the disclosure included a small dollar stat that engendered significant criticism — that Culver’s salary cut would be $7,000. Wait a minute, many said, isn’t the governor’s salary $130,000? Doesn’t computing a 10 percent cut mean merely moving a decimal one place; isn’t 10 percent of $130K actually 13K?

Turns out that since we’re one-third the way through the fiscal year, the governor pay cut would be less than $13K. But after the furor this morning, early afternoon we see that Culver’s chief of staff John Frew announced a recalculation of the Culver amount was warranted. A governor’s pay cut of thirteen thousand, it is.

Said Frew, “This reduction is equal to a 14 percent salary cut over the remaining eight months of the fiscal year. The salaries for all department directors will be reduced by 10 percent but, unlike the Governor, will not be retroactive and therefore equal less than 10 percent for the entire fiscal year. The Governor made a commitment to a 10 percent cut in his own salary for the entire year, and I inadvertently calculated it the same way as the reductions to department directors.

It’s hard to see how this sort of episode helps the public image of the governor who stands for re-election in 2010. Coincidentally, this afternoon the Chet Culver Committee sent around an e-mail soliciting campaign contributions. In the missive, titled “My Decision,” Culver talks about how his midyear budget cutting decision will set the state in a better financial direction.

Writes Culver, “I chose tough medicine today to build a stronger Iowa for tomorrow. Last week, I began airing a TV ad to speak directly to you and other Iowans about this difficult decision.

I wanted to share the video with you and extend an invitation to visit the new ChetCulver.com to view it and share it with friends. Thank you for helping me deliver this important message to folks across Iowa. I look forward to working with you as we build for the future.”

Next week will be an important period for candidate forums. More short-term focused will be the Oct. 29 evening forum at city hall for the five Sioux City Council candidates, John Fitch, Tom Padgett, Ian Rappolt and councilman Jim Rixner. That session should provide fodder for making candidate voting decisions in the Nov. 2 election.

But the forum that could draw more attention is the Oct. 27 Woodbury County Republican Party forum and fundraiser to which seven 2010 gubernatorial candidates have been invited. Those extended opportunities to speak are Sioux Cityans Bob Vander Plaats and Chris Rants, Cedar Rapids business executive Christian Fong, state lawmakers Rod Roberts of Carroll, Jerry Behn of Boone and Paul McKinley of Chariton, and one more guy you may have heard of, former Gov. Terry Branstad.

Branstad on Friday, of course, made news by resigning his position as president of Des Moines University while still not announcing if he’d run for governor in 2010. He’s formed an exploratory committe, hired staff for that committee and quit his job — you do the math. Branstad said he’s going to travel all 99 counties to get input in making his decision.  Could this provide the opportunity to see Branstad stand alongside other candidates?

Woodbury County Republican Party Chairman Brian Rosener of Bronson is enthused about the possibilities the forum holds to get a big field of candidates. He’ll have a handle on who will attend in a few days, but this afternoon said he expects at least four to be on  hand. Rosener said the event will be the biggest for the county party in 2009, so he’s hoping for a big turnout by those providing $10 to witness the forum.

“We are coming at it with the viewpoint that Iowa is in pretty critical condition or heading that way,” Rosener said.

He said people need to hear where the candidates stand on methods to improve the shaky state budget situation, while learning about positions on social issues like same-sex marriage, which became legal in April following an Iowa Supreme Court ruling. Same-sex marriage is an important issue for 2010, Rosener said, since “it is a social issue as well as a judicial issue.”

(The original post excluded Padgett’s name in the list of candidates, while including Rixner twice. My apologies.)

Dave Price of WHO-TV in central Iowa has the goods, leading the reporting pack in learning that former Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad on Friday will announce he’ll seek the governorship again in 2010. The foregone conclusion is now at hand.

Finally, we can move past all the will-he speculation and query Branstad on what he plans to do for the state, and Republicans can decide if he should be the nominee to take on Democratic Gov. Chet Culver. Additionally, candidates Bob Vander Plaats and Chris Rants of Sioux City, state lawmakers Jerry Behn of Boone and Rod Roberts of Carroll and Cedar Rapids business executive Christian Fong can sharpen their sights on Branstad. Or pitch themselves as lieutenant governor candidates, if you buy the logic (and polling) that Branstad is the odds-on GOP pick.

Imagine my surprise this morning during the hourlong Woodbury County Board of Supervisors meeting with seven agenda items. During a discussion on county workers moving to a new payroll documentation system, at 10:23 a.m., the door swung open and Doug Gross walked in. Yes, Doug Gross — Des Moines attorney, the 2002 Republican gubernatorial candidate and former key official during Terry Branstad years as governor. He was present to talk on behalf of the city of  Salix, since an Interstate 29 interchange could be moved by the Iowa Department of Transportation.

After the meeting, Gross, who isn’t beloved by social conservatives for his push to widen the GOP tent, agreed to talk  2010 gubernatorial politics. It made me think back to  October 2002 when, in one of my first duties at The Journal,  I was on a three-person panel querying Gross and Gov. Tom Vilsack in a debate set in Sioux City.

Q: Do you fully back Branstad entering the race?

Gross: “I worked for him, I was his chief of staff, so if Terry Branstad wants to get into the race, I’m fully supportive. Now, I have done some (2009) analysis and looked at the race, and in head-to-head competition he is the only one that beats (Gov. Chet) Culver, and he beats him like a drum. So obviously he would be the strongest candidate, if he decides to run.”

Q: So what are you doing to push (Branstad) toward the race?

Gross: “I’m not trying to push him toward it at all. From a personal standpoint, I’ve not been the one saying, ‘Hey, you need to do this,’ because  he’s a good friend of mine, he’s got a great job (as Des Moines University president) and I don’t think he owes us anything. But that doesn’t mean he won’t do it, because Terry Branstad is driven by his commitment to the state and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he decides he wants to do it. If he does, I’m going to be 100 percent behind him.”

Q: So Sandy (Greiner) formed the Draft Branstad PAC and you’re not a part of that organization whatsoever?

Gross: “No, I am not. I did the Iowa First Foundation, where we did a lot of the analysis about, OK, what is the lay of the land, what do Republicans need to do to get back in control. It is pretty clear (Branstad) would be our best candidate, I mean from a political standpoint. But I divorce that from the personal matter, where he is a good friend of mine and I’ve not taken a position of urging  him to run.”

Q: To state that, where do Republicans need to go to in order to be good in 2010 in elective office?

Gross: “To win? First of all, the issue environment should be such that it will be a great Republican year. It is the midterm for as Democrat incumbent president, the voters are really focused on economic issues that are important for Republicans — jobs, economic development, the fiscal issues, taxes and government spending — those are all issues that are all right in the Republicans’ wheelhouse. The key is having candidates who can appeal to the public on those kinds of issues. And my concern — I’ve been pretty outspoken about this — is that it is fine for us to be socially conservative — I happen to be (socially conservative) myself, in terms of those issues — but those are not the issues we should lead with. We should lead on the economic issues, because those are the ones we can win with.” (more…)